Archive
Analysis, interactives and scenarios published alongside the daily digest. Each article belongs to the day it came out.
5 articles
17 October 2026 — 2 November 2026
New · Analysis · United StatesScenarios
Americans elect a new Congress on 3 November. Democrats lead the national polls by 8–9 points, more than before 2018, when they gained 41 seats. Three scenarios for the White House, Trump’s powers and US support for Ukraine — pick one and see what changes.
Read and pick a scenario →Analysis · United StatesAnalysis
He pledged to end russia’s war within a day and to halve energy bills. Twenty-one months on, the US is at war with Iran, petrol has gone from $3 to $4.27, tariffs of up to 500% on russia were waived two days before they took effect, and voters are promised $5,000 each if Republicans win.
Analysis · russian aviationAnalysis
russian airports shut 2,182 times this summer, more than in all of 2025. Even the government’s own estimate of the cost eats over half the industry’s RUB 31bn operating profit, while the state keeps handing airlines RUB 175bn in tax breaks.
Lyman front · Donetsk region · Ukraine’s 3rd Army CorpsInteractive
Over 145 days, from May to October 2026, Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps took back 277 km² and 16 settlements north of Lyman, by its own count; the independent DeepState map shows about 155 km². russia had to pull part of a tank army from the Kupiansk front to plug the gap. An interactive 3D map walks through each phase.
Analysis
The flight controller holds 105 components and not one of them russian: 80 were made by US companies, 61 by Texas Instruments together with National Semiconductor.
