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day 4,587Since the ATO began · 14.04.2014
day 1,714Since the full-scale invasion · 24.02.2022

Double guided-bomb strike on a school in Komyshuvakha: 26 dead, rescuers and police among them

On the morning of 2 November russia dropped a guided aerial bomb (KAB) on the grounds of a school in Komyshuvakha, a village in the Zaporizhzhia district, then struck the same spot again once rescuers and police had arrived — the “double tap” tactic. The death toll rose through the day: 18, then 24 according to the State Emergency Service, and 26 according to Zelensky (evening address, via Ukrinform 22:33); among the dead are two rescuers and four police officers, 5 people are injured, and more may be under the rubble. The Zaporizhzhia region declared a day of mourning. The materials read do not say whether children were among the victims; the figures may change.

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War victims

3 items

Civilian casualties of russian strikes on 2 November and the night into 3 November, as reported by the authorities (State Emergency Service, regional military administrations, the president); the data are incomplete and may rise. The reports cover different periods, so they are not added up; full figures for the night attack on 3.11 were not available by the morning:

  • Komyshuvakha (Zaporizhzhia region), 2.11 — 26 killed according to Zelensky (24 according to the State Emergency Service at 20:28), among them two rescuers and four police officers; 5 injured. Two guided-bomb strikes on a school; people may be under the rubble (State Emergency Service, Prosecutor General’s Office; Zelensky, evening address, via Ukrinform 22:33)
  • Kharkiv, night into 3.11 — 25 injured; ballistic missiles and guided bombs hit the passage between hospital buildings, more than 200 patients are being evacuated (regional governor Oleh Syniehubov, Telegram, via Ukrinform 05:26 3.11); the material read does not mention deaths
  • Izium (Kharkiv region), 2.11 around 09:00 — 1 killed, 15 injured according to the city military administration (Syniehubov earlier said 11, including an 11-year-old boy with acute stress reaction); guided bombs on residential buildings (via Ukrinform)
  • Dnipropetrovsk region, 2.11 — 1 killed, several injured; more than 40 strikes in a day (via Ukrinform 18:56)
  • Kherson region, 2.11 — 7 injured during the day (via Ukrinform 18:53)
  • Kyiv region, 2.11 — 1 teenager injured; a warehouse and a house damaged (via Ukrinform 21:14, 19:55)
  • Zaporizhzhia, night into 3.11 — 1 woman injured, a house partly destroyed (via Ukrinform 01:20)
State Emergency Service, regional military administrations, Prosecutor General’s Office, the president (via Ukrinform, 2.11 18:53 – 3.11 05:26)

Komyshuvakha (Zaporizhzhia district), 2 November. In the morning russia struck a school with a guided aerial bomb. Rescuers and police who arrived took cover from a follow-up strike — and the same spot was hit again: the gym and an outbuilding were destroyed, the school damaged and a fire engine wrecked (State Emergency Service head Andrii Danylyk, Facebook, via Ukrinform 20:28). The toll kept rising: 18 (19:10), 24 (20:28), 26 according to Zelensky (address, via Ukrinform 22:33); 5 injured. Zelensky said russia “knew that it was in effect a humanitarian site”. The search continues; earlier, 27 people were reported missing under the rubble. The Zaporizhzhia region declared a day of mourning (Ukrinform 21:11). The materials read do not say whether children were among the dead.

State Emergency Service, Prosecutor General’s Office, Zelensky (via Ukrinform, 2.11)Sources: Ukrinform: 26 killed · Ukrinform: 24 killed · Ukrinform: day of mourning

Kharkiv, Nemyshlianskyi district, night into 3 November. Ballistic missiles and guided bombs: one strike hit the passage between the buildings of a hospital. 25 injured (4 at 04:06); more than 200 patients are being moved to other hospitals; a ward building was damaged, windows blown out in four apartment blocks and 10 cars damaged (Kharkiv regional governor Oleh Syniehubov, Telegram, via Ukrinform 05:26). The material read does not mention deaths or children.

Syniehubov (via Ukrinform, 3.11 04:06 and 05:26)Sources: Ukrinform: 25 injured

Front line

2 items

206 combat clashes on 2 November — in line with the weekly average (204) and the day before (205); the most attacks came on the Kostiantynivka direction (21), not on Pokrovsk as the day before (31 → 13). russia carried out 68 air strikes with 234 guided bombs (KABs), used 8,297 kamikaze drones and carried out 2,491 shelling attacks, 61 of them with multiple rocket launchers — the most since 22.10 and 1.8 times the weekly average (35). The named directions account for only 65 of the 206 assaults; another 8 were on the North Slobozhanskyi and Kursk directions combined, and the report does not break down the rest (General Staff, report as of the morning of 3.11, Ukrinform 08:45). Attacks by direction:

  • Kostiantynivka — 21
  • Pokrovsk — 13
  • South Slobozhanskyi — 10
  • Lyman — 9
  • Huliaipole — 7
  • Kupiansk — 3 (towards Radkivka)
  • Sloviansk — 1 (an attempted advance near Yampil, stopped)
  • Orikhiv — 1
  • North Slobozhanskyi and Kursk — 8 assaults combined, 58 shelling attacks
  • Kramatorsk, Oleksandrivka and Prydniprovskyi — no assaults
Ukraine’s General Staff (via Ukrinform, 3.11 08:45)Sources: Ukrinform: 206 clashes

Ukraine’s General Staff: russia lost 2,060 troops in the 24 hours to 3 November — 17% above the weekly average (1,761), though fewer than the day before (2,500); 39 artillery systems (a weekly average of 24). Total ~1,594,830; no independent confirmation, figures being updated:

  • personnel — 2,060
  • tanks — 0 (12,452 in total)
  • armoured vehicles — 4
  • artillery systems — 39
  • MLRS — 1
  • air defence systems — 0
  • operational-tactical drones — 1,413
  • vehicles (incl. tankers) — 363
  • unmanned ground vehicles — 4
  • special equipment — 4
  • aircraft, helicopters, cruise missiles — unchanged
Ukraine’s General Staff (via Ukrinform, 3.11 07:50); increases in tanks and air defence computed as the difference between the cumulative totals of 3.11 and 2.11Sources: Ukrinform: losses

Directions on the map: Kostiantynivka (21) · Pokrovsk (13) · South Slobozhanskyi (10) · Lyman (9) · Huliaipole (7) · Kupiansk (3) · Sloviansk (1) · Orikhiv (1)

Strikes & air defence

4 items

Night into 3 November (from 18:00 on 2.11): 289 Shahed-type attack drones (120 of them jet-powered) and 59 Kh-101/Kh-59/Kh-69/Iskander-K cruise missiles. That is 348 named targets — 80% more than the previous night (193) and 1.8 times the weekly average (194); 59 missiles is the most in a single night since at least 3 October, when our data begin (the previous high was 53, on the night to 7.10). russia also used Gerbera and Parodiya decoy drones, Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles and Zircon anti-ship missiles — in numbers not given. 309 targets were shot down or suppressed: 257 drones, 49 cruise and 3 ballistic missiles (details on three missiles still being clarified); hits at 23 locations, debris at 14. Launched from russia’s Rostov, Voronezh, Kursk, Vologda, Orenburg and Oryol regions and from occupied Donetsk region and Crimea (Air Force, as of 09:00, via Ukrinform 09:33).

Ukraine’s Air Force (via Ukrinform, 3.11 09:33)Sources: Ukrinform: 257 drones, 3 ballistic and 49 cruise missiles

In daytime on 2 November (06:30–19:00) — another 171 attack drones (103 jet-powered) and 10 S-8000 Banderol/Dan-T missiles; 139 drones (78 jet) and 8 missiles were shot down or suppressed, about 20 drones were still in the air (General Staff, via Ukrinform 19:43). The material does not say where they hit.

Ukraine’s General Staff (via Ukrinform, 2.11 19:43)Sources: Ukrinform: daytime attack

russia is preparing a new massive strike, above all on energy and logistics, Zelensky said in his evening address on 2 November, citing intelligence (via Ukrinform 21:31). He called on the world to send signals so that Moscow would “feel that terror brings them no benefit”, and mentioned the strain on air defence and the shortage of Patriot missiles.

Zelensky (via Ukrinform, 2.11 21:31)Sources: Ukrinform: address

October in numbers (2.11). General Staff: russia launched 6,473 Shahed-type drones, 4,859 were shot down; the interception rate was 66% against jet-powered drones and 89% against piston-engine ones. Air Force spokesman Yurii Ihnat: almost 360 Banderol/Dan-T missiles, 4,740 conventional drones, more than 4,000 jet-powered ones, about 150 ballistic and 80 cruise/air-launched missiles; with ballistic missiles “the situation is not as we would like” because of a shortage of PAC-3 interceptors. The two estimates use different categories, so they are not compared directly.

Ukraine’s General Staff, Air Force (via Ukrinform, 2.11)Sources: Ukrinform: General Staff, 66% · Ukrinform: Air Force, October

Ukraine’s strikes on russia, last 24h

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unverified📏 920 km from Ukrainian-held territory ≈Samara region, morning of 2 November. Drones attacked the area of the Samara oil pumping station (in Prosvet, according to Ukrinform); NASA FIRMS satellite data registered a probable fire, according to Bloomberg (via Ukrinform 03:00 3.11). Kazakhstan’s energy ministry told Bloomberg that it had temporarily suspended oil deliveries through the Atyrau–Samara pipeline after a strike on its facilities and expected them to resume soon; Transneft did not respond to a request. No official confirmation from the General Staff, SBU, HUR, SSO, USF or Zaluzhnyi could be found, so the episode is marked unconfirmed. Local authorities: no statements by the governor or the regional emergency HQ for 2.11 could be found — we count them as “silent” (they would not be official confirmation anyway).

local authorities silentLocal authorities (Samara region authorities, 2.11): no statements for this date in the materials read

Bloomberg, NASA FIRMS, Kazakhstan’s economy ministry (via Ukrinform, 3.11 03:00)Sources: Ukrinform: Bloomberg, Samara

📏 510 km from Ukrainian-held territory ≈Akhtubinsk (Astrakhan region), 29 October. Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) reported (via Ukrinform, 2.11 11:21) that a new Su-57 fighter exploded at the Akhtubinsk airfield during engine start; it puts the aircraft’s cost at ≈$150m and suggests poor-quality fuel may have been the cause. This is not a claim of a Ukrainian strike: HUR describes the incident as an explosion, although the headline calls the jet “destroyed”. Confirmed only by HUR’s statement; no independent imagery or statements by russian authorities found — “silent”.

local authorities silentLocal authorities (russian authorities / russia’s MoD, 29.10–2.11): no statements on this incident in the materials read

HUR (via Ukrinform, 2.11 11:21)Sources: Ukrinform: Su-57

As of the morning of 3 November no new official confirmations of strikes on russia over the past day could be found from the General Staff, SBU, HUR, SSO, USF, Operational Command South, Strategic Command or Zaluzhnyi, nor the General Staff’s “strike results” for 2.11 (based on a review of the Ukrinform feed). Separately, the ATESH resistance movement published positions of a radar regiment at Cape Fiolent in Sevastopol (Ukrinform, 3.11 04:22) — not a strike and not a confirmed hit.

Ukrinform (feed review 2–3.11)

Analysts’ and monitors’ assessments

3 items

Ukraine’s General Staff (2.11), summing up October: ballistic missiles remain the main challenge, while russia has changed routes and altitudes and mixes drones with decoys and missiles. Of 6,473 Shaheds in the month, 4,859 were shot down — ≈75% (our calculation, not a General Staff figure).

Ukraine’s General Staff (via Ukrinform, 2.11 23:51)

Air Force (spokesman Yurii Ihnat, 2.11): there are more and more jet-powered drones — over 4,000 in October against about 3,500 in September, according to the same article. Interception of ballistic missiles is “not as we would like” because of a shortage of PAC-3 interceptors.

Air Force (via Ukrinform, 2.11 12:58)

unverifiedPutin and Trump are pressing Ukraine to make concessions before the new Congress convenes in January, in the view of US Congressman George Whitesides (according to Ukrinform, 3.11 02:35). This is a political assessment, not a fact; the original source was not opened.

Ukrinform (3.11 02:35)Sources: Ukrinform: Whitesides

Diplomacy, sanctions & aid

4 items

unverifiedThe US, russia and Ukraine will resume peace talks in Abu Dhabi next week, the US special envoy Steve Witkoff said, according to an Axios headline (3.11). The article could not be opened, so the details are unknown. Earlier, according to Ukrinform, Zelensky had pencilled in 6–10 November; the final date and format have not been officially confirmed.

Axios (headline and teaser only)Sources: Axios: Abu Dhabi talks

The defence ministers of Germany and the UK were sceptical about the Abu Dhabi talks (press conference in Berlin, 2 November). Boris Pistorius: “First of all, based on experience, I am sceptical” — after previous rounds, he said, strikes on Ukraine intensified. The UK’s Wes Streeting: “There can be no decision on Ukraine without Ukraine.” Both insisted on European participation. Quotes as translated into Ukrainian by Ukrinform.

Ukrinform (3.11 02:19)Sources: Ukrinform

Germany and the UK are preparing a plan to strengthen Ukraine’s air defence before the next Ramstein meeting of Ukraine’s backers on 17 November, because US Patriot deliveries are insufficient, Pistorius said on 2.11. The Dutch defence minister is looking for ways to speed up deliveries of Patriot missiles (Ukrinform 23:16).

Ukrinform (2.11 22:23, 23:16)Sources: Ukrinform: air defence plan

Ukraine’s ambassador to the UN Andrii Melnyk called on states to execute the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrants for Putin and five other senior russian officials (Ukrinform, 3.11 00:42). The day before (2.11, 22:43) the ICC president urged the world to protect the court from sanctions and threats.

Ukrinform (2.11 22:43; 3.11 00:42)Sources: Ukrinform: Melnyk

What Trump says

3 items

Trump repeats that the sides are “very close” to a deal and that there is “a very good chance” of settling it (comment to blogger Benny Johnson on X, according to Ukrinform 1.11 01:47); asked whether he would invite the Ukrainians and the russians to the G20 summit at Trump National Doral in Florida, he replied “Yes, no problem”, according to Ukrinform’s headline. These are the same words as in yesterday’s issue; the English original was not seen — this is Ukrinform’s retelling.

Ukrinform (1.11), Benny Johnson’s post on XSources: Ukrinform: “Very close”

Iran: no fresh verified statements by Trump in the past day; undated Axios headlines about the war with Iran are not presented as fact.

On “Mr Veto” (1.11) see yesterday’s issue; that remark was not about Ukraine. New: the same day, according to Ukrinform (15:14), Trump lost his $10bn defamation suit against the publisher of the Wall Street Journal.

Ukrinform (1.11)Sources: Ukrinform: “Mr Veto”

World reaction

1 item

unverifiedNo specific statements on Ukraine by Rubio or by China in the past day. Context: the G20 foreign ministers’ meeting hosted by Rubio in Atlanta on 30 October — according to Kuwait Times, Washington is pursuing diplomacy on Ukraine while asking Moscow for help with fuel prices; China’s Wang Yi stayed away and sent a deputy.

Kuwait Times (30.10)Sources: Kuwait Times

Word from the swamps

1 item

unverifiedNo new statements on the war or the talks by Putin, Peskov, Lavrov, Ushakov, Medvedev, Belousov, Shoigu, Matviyenko or Volodin on 2–3 November. The only item is second-hand, about Lavrov: at the G20 foreign ministers’ meeting in Atlanta (30.10), according to Canada’s foreign minister Anita Anand (CBC, via Ukrinform 3.11), he delivered “Kremlin talking points”, and the family photo was cancelled because European officials did not want to be pictured with him. These are Anand’s words, not a statement by Lavrov; not independently verified.

Ukrinform (3.11 06:12), CBCSources: Ukrinform: Anand on Lavrov

Source divergences

3 items

Specific discrepancies of the day. Neither side has independent verification of the other’s figures, so we do not pick a winner.

Komyshuvakha, 2.11: 18, 24 or 26 killed

State Emergency Service (via Ukrinform, 19:10 and 20:28)18 killed, then up to 24; 5 injured; 27 people being searched for
vs
Zelensky, evening address (via Ukrinform 22:33)26 killed, people may be under the rubble

The reports were made at different times of day while the search was under way; we take the latest official figure (26) and add nothing to any total.

Izium, 2.11: 11 or 15 injured

Syniehubov (regional military administration, Facebook)11 injured, including an 11-year-old boy
vs
Izium city military administration (Telegram)15 people receiving help

An earlier and a later count; the material presents 15 as the updated figure.

Su-57 at Akhtubinsk: “destroyed” or “exploded”

HUR (headline, via Ukrinform)the new aircraft destroyed
vs
HUR (text of the same publication)the aircraft exploded during engine start; cause possibly poor-quality fuel

This is not a claim of a Ukrainian strike; there is no independent confirmation.

Sources

17

14 read in full · 3 partial or via retelling

read 14partial 3

The ATO began on 14 April 2014; from 30 April 2018 it was replaced by the Joint Forces Operation, and the count here runs from the start of the ATO. Day counts include the starting day.

Not a final assessment; data from open sources.